TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Houston versus Dallas MLS game scheduled for October 17, this event will confirm if both teams find the back of the net at least once throughout the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with the exclusion of extra time or penalty shootout phases.
If Houston and Dallas both score a goal in the Houston vs Dallas MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting bias or risk management. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, allows for a more fluid and potentially more accurate assessment of the probability of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the same information, offering opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will converge towards what the market believes is the true probability of the event occurring. The current price indicates the collective belief of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Houston and Dallas score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Houston or Dallas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity on Kalshi itself, driven by new information or a change in sentiment, will directly affect the odds until the event concludes.