TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Houston will win its professional MLS soccer game against Dallas. Currently, Kalshi gives Houston a 94.0% probability of winning. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome; a tie will resolve the market to ‘Yes’. Traders should watch for the final whistle on October 17, 2026, as that marks the end of the regular game time and the point at which the market will be settled according to the resolution source.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Houston vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Houston or Dallas occurs only if that respective team wins the match within regular time. If the game concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the standing after regular time plus stoppage minutes is considered.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. While sportsbooks often adjust lines based on betting action, this market allows anyone to participate in setting the price, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention on the event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the competition between Houston and Dallas, as determined by official sources. The specific details of the outcome will be verified against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries, significant coaching changes, or unexpected performance shifts in recent games could all impact trader sentiment. Major news stories related to team dynamics, public endorsements, or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the rivalry will likely cause fluctuations in the market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.