TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC
Volume:
$405,518
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, 2026 between Houston Dynamo and San Diego FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable. It requires the market to resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes (San Diego win, Houston win, or tie), which violates fundamental binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets for this event. The resolution rules guarantee all three outcomes resolve YES simultaneously, making the market mathematically impossible to settle fairly. Stick to Polymarket, where the three binary markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive: Houston Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), San Diego Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match result. Resolution source is official MLS statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Houston and San Diego markets to NO, Draw market to YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution paths stated as: 'If San Diego FC wins... then resolves to Yes. If Houston wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market must resolve YES regardless of the actual outcome, since exactly one of these three mutually exclusive conditions will always occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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