TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers
Volume:
$536,759
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional MLS soccer match between Houston Dynamo and Portland Timbers scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms measure the same event (Houston vs Portland on March 14, 2026, 90 minutes plus stoppage time) and agree on the three mutually exclusive outcomes, though Kalshi's market phrasing creates a logical artifact where all three conditions resolve to Yes.
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores) final match resultCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Houston Dynamo wins, Portland Timbers wins, or draw (tie)
- If game is postponed: all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If game is canceled with no makeup: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No; Kalshi markets all resolve Yes (due to market construction)
- Match date: March 14, 2026
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is rescheduled and completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Game Cancellation (No Makeup): If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets resolve Yes for all three outcomes due to their logical structure (all three conditions cover all possibilities).
- Stoppage Time Clarity: Stoppage time (injury time) is included in the resolution window. The match result is determined by the final whistle after the referee adds stoppage time to the 90-minute period.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle of the match on March 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. Markets remain open if postponed and resolve only upon match completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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