TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:02 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the NWSL game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the NWSL game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions and sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome, though it’s important to remember that neither guarantees accuracy. This market provides an alternative view to traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating greater confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Houston Dash versus Washington Spirit match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Dash win, a Spirit win, or a draw – actually occurred. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. This process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Houston Dash or the Washington Spirit would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are unfavorable, might affect the expected outcome. Finally, any significant news or announcements related to the teams or players could introduce volatility and move this market as traders react to the new information.