TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Houston Dash and Portland Thorns FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dash" if Houston Dash are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Thorns FC" if Portland Thorns FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Houston Dash and Portland Thorns FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Dash" if Houston Dash are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Portland Thorns FC" if Portland Thorns FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, often aligning closely with, or even exceeding the accuracy of, traditional sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can emerge due to differing levels of market efficiency and the types of participants involved. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. It's common to see this market’s implied probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and trading volume increases.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Houston Dash versus Portland Thorns FC match. Official match records and widely accepted sports news sources will be used to determine the definitive first goalscorer. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and reported, concluding trading on this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Dash or the Thorns would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also shift probabilities. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on game day might impact expectations. Major pre-game analysis from soccer experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also contribute to shifts in this market.