TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the HOU Texans will win their game against the TEN Titans by more than 7.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game, with the market resolving to Yes if the Texans win by more than 27.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 11, 2026, as the final result of that fixture will determine the outcome of this market.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Houston Texans versus Tennessee Titans professional football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the Houston Texans win by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'HOU Texans wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Tennessee Titans win by exceeding their specified margin, the relevant 'TEN Titans wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same underlying game and date, with resolution contingent solely on the final score difference. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may react to news and adjust their odds, this market incorporates that information more rapidly through continuous trading. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though they often converge closer to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Texans-Titans game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of participants regarding the game's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Texans-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a major sports data provider. All contracts will then be settled based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will receive payouts or incur losses based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or Titans would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies or weather forecasts for the game day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could create short-term price fluctuations, and general shifts in public opinion as reflected in polls or analyst predictions could also affect the direction of this market.