TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific NFL matchup between the Houston Texans and the Tennessee Titans. It highlights the importance of late-game performance and strategy, where momentum can shift dramatically in the last quarter of play.
If Tennessee wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the HOU Texans vs TEN Titans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals predicting the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants have information or a perspective that differs from the sportsbook's assessment. It's important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates the level of agreement among traders. A deeper market suggests more confidence in the current price, while a shallow market may indicate greater uncertainty.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—the Texans or the Titans—has the higher score at the conclusion of the fourth quarter. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine the winning team for the purposes of this market. The result will be reported on Kalshi following official confirmation of the game’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Texans or the Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance during the game itself, such as a dominant first half by one team, could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions or referee decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume on Kalshi—perhaps driven by a prominent analyst’s prediction—could also cause noticeable price movements.