TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the third quarter in an upcoming professional football game. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will have a decisive lead by the end of that quarter. The outcomes are based solely on performance during the third quarter, isolating this specific segment of the game for analysis.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between the Houston Texans and the Tennessee Titans exclusively during the third quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, and applies to either team depending on the specified outcome. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward resolving these markets, meaning performance in any other quarter is irrelevant. The markets cover various margins to allow for nuanced predictions of how dominant one team might be in that specific quarter. All markets operate independently, and the resolution depends strictly on the numerical point difference at the end of the third quarter, without considering any other factors such as overtime or post-quarter adjustments.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can provide a broader perspective on the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter of the Texans-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the league. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The market’s outcome is determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Texans or the Titans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and shift market sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before or during the game could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and move the market.