TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses exclusively on the second half performance of the Houston Texans versus Tennessee Titans football game, assessing different point spreads to determine the outcome. Each market evaluates whether one team secures a victory by a specific margin, considering only points scored after halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the designated football game between the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the second half by more than the stated point spread. Points scored in the first half are irrelevant for resolution. Each market features a different threshold for the point spread, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to wider margins like over 13.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance in the latter portion of the game. The governing body's official rules apply to the game itself, but Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting volume, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the game’s likely outcome. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the market incorporates new data. However, discrepancies can persist, offering opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Texans-Titans game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more trades occur, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus, providing a real-time assessment of the likely second-half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-half spread of the Texans-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports league and verified against trusted sources. The contract corresponding to the actual spread will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will pay out $0.00. Traders will be able to view the final result and their payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries for either the Texans or Titans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi could signal new information or a shift in market sentiment, causing the price to adjust accordingly.