TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points). If the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter surpass the threshold defined for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' Otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to points from any other quarter or overtime periods. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, though they are all contingent on the same underlying game data.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of available data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more information becomes available, or as the event draws closer, the price will adjust to reflect the changing expectations of those trading in the market. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Texans-Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to ensure accuracy. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Texans or Titans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis or reports suggesting a shift in team strategy or performance could impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role in influencing the market price.