TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between HOTU and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 2 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against HOTU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between HOTU and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 2 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against HOTU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe HOTU will win, the higher the price of contracts predicting their victory will climb, and vice versa for fnatic. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Map 2 in the HOTU vs fnatic match will determine the resolution. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established tournament rules to ensure a fair and accurate resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either HOTU or fnatic would likely impact trading activity. In-game performance during Map 1, if played before resolution, could also heavily influence predictions. Additionally, broader shifts in public sentiment, fueled by social media or analyst opinions, can contribute to price fluctuations. Major upsets in other concurrent matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect confidence in either team’s chances in this market.