TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between HOTU and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 1 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 1 against HOTU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between HOTU and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat III 2026, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 1 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 1 against HOTU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 UTC). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the current supply and demand, and thus the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This means the odds will shift as more information becomes available and as traders update their beliefs about the likelihood of HOTU or fnatic winning Map 1.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of Map 1 in the HOTU vs fnatic match will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official match results and publicly available information to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final odds at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either HOTU or fnatic could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also impact the odds. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in preceding matches, or even in practice sessions, might influence traders’ assessments of their chances of winning Map 1. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of the two teams has the potential to move this market.