TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams face off in a league match where the winner is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any subsequent playoff stages.
The market resolves based on the Horsens vs Randers professional Danish Superliga soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Horsens wins, the 'Horsens' market resolves to Yes; if Randers wins, the 'Randers' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Typically, you’ll find that prediction markets are more efficient at incorporating new information and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, though discrepancies can exist. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Danish Superliga match between Horsens and Randers, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Horsens, a win for Randers, or a draw—actually occurred during the game. The final price of each contract will reflect the actual outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Furthermore, updates on team form, recent performance, and tactical adjustments could all contribute to shifts in the market. Even public opinion and betting trends from other sources can influence how traders position themselves, causing the price of contracts to fluctuate leading up to Oct 16, 2026.