TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hornets vs. Nets
Volume:
$2,535,048
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 31 at 7:30PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures for this event group. Kalshi offers 34 binary player prop markets (points thresholds only), while Polymarket offers a comprehensive suite including moneyline, spreads, totals, and multi-stat player props (points, rebounds, assists). The platforms do not overlap in market design, making direct comparison impossible.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are restricted to player points outcomes only. If you trade on Polymarket, you have access to game-level outcomes (moneyline, spreads, totals) and multi-stat player props. Do not assume Kalshi's YES resolution (any single player hits their points threshold) correlates with Polymarket's game winner or spread outcomes—they are independent market families.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 34 binary player prop markets, each resolving YES if a specific Charlotte or Brooklyn player records a minimum points threshold (ranging from 10+ to 30+ points). All markets resolve YES if ANY ONE of the 34 conditions is met during the game. Resolution source is 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.' No game outcome, spread, or multi-stat markets are offered. Key quote: 'If [player name] records [X]+ Points in the Charlotte vs Brooklyn professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 51 markets across four categories: (1) game moneyline and spreads (Hornets vs. Nets, multiple spread thresholds from -13.5 to -34.5), (2) game totals (O/U ranging from 206.5 to 219.5 points), (3) first-half moneyline, spread, and total, and (4) individual player props covering points, rebounds, and assists for 10 players. Resolution source is 'official NBA box score as published on NBA.com' for player stats and 'final score including any overtime periods' for game outcomes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "Over" if the Hornets and Nets combine to score [X] or more points in this game' and 'If [player name] scores more than [X] points during the game, this market will resolve to "Yes".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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