TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against TOP Esports Armor. This market will resolve to "TOP Esports Armor" if TOP Esports Armor win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants contributing to the price discovery process. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, particularly closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Talent Gaming versus TOP Esports Armor match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares reflects the collective prediction of the crowd. The market aggregates the opinions of participants, translating them into probabilities. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. Conversely, decreased demand lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of traders as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Honor of Kings: Talent Gaming vs TOP Esports Armor match in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. No further details on the resolution process are available at this time.
A variety of factors could influence this market leading up to its resolution on Oct 15, 2026. Key performance indicators from recent matches for both Talent Gaming and TOP Esports Armor, including win rates and individual player statistics, will be closely watched. Announcements about team compositions or strategic shifts could also move the market. Unexpected news regarding player health or potential substitutions would likely have a significant impact. Finally, any major upsets in other King Pro League matches could affect overall confidence in the perceived strength of these teams.