TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and LGD NBW in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against LGD NBW. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between Talent Gaming and LGD NBW in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Talent Gaming" if Talent Gaming win the match against LGD NBW. This market will resolve to "LGD NBW" if LGD NBW win the match against Talent Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely winner of the Honor of Kings Grand Finals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and incorporate new information faster than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders believe Talent Gaming will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for LGD NBW. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a constantly updated forecast for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Honor of Kings: Talent Gaming vs LGD NBW BO5 match in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the settled outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand how their positions will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for Talent Gaming or LGD NBW could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, the results of other matches in the King Pro League leading up to the Grand Finals might provide insights into the teams’ current strengths and weaknesses, impacting the odds. Major upsets in other games could also cause a reassessment of probabilities.