TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This group of markets covers the Honor of Kings King Pro League Grand Finals match between AG Super Play and Rogue Warriors. Markets include game-specific winners, the overall match winner, and total games played, with handicap options available. Resolution relies on official results from Liquipedia or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and Rogue Warriors in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against Rogue Warriors. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Honor of Kings match between AG Super Play and Rogue Warriors in the King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against Rogue Warriors. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win the match against AG Super Play. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. The current volume of $5,812 suggests relatively limited participation, so the odds may not yet fully represent a broad consensus. However, as more traders participate, the market tends to become more efficient.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. For example, Polymarket currently favors Game Handicap: AG.SP (-1.5) vs Rogue Warriors (+1.5) at 95 percent, while Predict leans toward Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Rogue Warriors - Game 2 Winner. Different risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform also contribute to these discrepancies. The 24-hour volume of $5,790 is currently low, which can exacerbate price differences.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either AG Super Play or Rogue Warriors could shift predictions. In-game performance during the early matches of the BO5 series will likely have a significant impact, as traders react to the evolving dynamics. Major upsets or dominant performances by one team could lead to substantial price movements. Furthermore, any external factors affecting the competitive scene, such as rule changes or controversies, could also influence this market.