TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:03 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Hong Kong Sixes cricket match between England and South Africa, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:20 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes. The outcome corresponding to England will be considered correct if England is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than South Africa.The outcome corresponding to South Africa will be considered correct if South Africa is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than England. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw".
In the upcoming Hong Kong Sixes cricket match between England and South Africa, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:20 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes. The outcome corresponding to England will be considered correct if England is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than South Africa.The outcome corresponding to South Africa will be considered correct if South Africa is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than England. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw".
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It’s important to compare both to make informed decisions, but remember that this market’s price reflects what traders believe will happen, not necessarily what bookmakers think.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments, creating a real-time forecast of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team with the most sixes hit during the England vs South Africa match will be declared the winner. In the event of a tie in sixes, the market will resolve to the 'Draw' outcome. The final result will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups for either England or South Africa would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role, as conditions favoring batting might increase expectations for sixes. Finally, pre-match analysis from cricket experts and commentators, as well as any public statements from team captains, could all contribute to changes in the market's price as traders react to new information.