TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:15 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Hong Kong Sixes cricket match between Australia and Afghanistan, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total. The outcome corresponding to Australia will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Australia. The outcome corresponding to Afghanistan will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Afghanistan. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw.
In the upcoming Hong Kong Sixes cricket match between Australia and Afghanistan, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 2:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total. The outcome corresponding to Australia will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Australia. The outcome corresponding to Afghanistan will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Afghanistan. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust probabilities based on new information. If sportsbook odds heavily favor a particular player, but this market shows a more distributed probability, it could indicate disagreement or access to different information. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player being the top batter. As more shares are purchased for a specific player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly updating their assessments based on news, team lineups, and other relevant factors. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player officially recognized as scoring the most runs in the Australia vs Afghanistan match of the Hong Kong Sixes will be declared the winner. Resolution will be based on the official match results as published by the tournament organizers. Any disputes regarding the official results will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for determining the outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could cause price fluctuations. Strong performances by a player in preceding matches or announcements about their form could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about pitch conditions or strategic changes could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and staying updated on team news will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in probabilities before the resolution date.