TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Honduras and Jamaica will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within regular time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes vary depending on whether more than a specific number of goals are scored.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Honduras vs Jamaica professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume and are not endorsed by CONCACAF.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, but this market on Kalshi allows traders to continuously update the price based on new information and their own analysis. While sportsbooks offer fixed odds, the price in this market fluctuates, potentially offering opportunities for value depending on your own assessment of the likely outcome and how it compares to external expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they can profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market, offering a dynamic assessment of the potential goal tally.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Honduras vs Jamaica match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official match data, and the market will settle based on which outcome—representing a specific total goals range—matches the actual result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Honduras or Jamaica would likely cause movement, as would updates on team formations or tactical approaches. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially impacting the likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert predictions regarding the match outcome could also drive trading activity and affect the price of contracts in this market.