TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 11:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two national teams in a regional tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular period of play, including any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on goals scored within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes.
If Honduras and Jamaica both score a goal in the Honduras vs Jamaica CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that these odds represent different things: one is a prediction, the other a business.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams to score in the Honduras vs Jamaica match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher belief that both teams will score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Honduras and Jamaica score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders who correctly predicted whether both teams would score will receive a payout based on the closing price of their contracts on Kalshi at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 6, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Honduras or Jamaica could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause the market to react, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.