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411,051

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Honduras vs. Jamaica
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Honduras vs Jamaica?

Volume:
$4,489,286

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$946,773
N/A
N/A
$536,920
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Honduras vs. Jamaica)

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jamaica

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,822,301
N/A
N/A
$1,073,275
Settled
No
polymarket

Jamaica

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Honduras

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,601,617
N/A
N/A
$909,826
Settled
No
polymarket

Honduras

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Honduras versus Jamaica soccer match, part of the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The result will be determined based on the official outcome reported by https://www.concacaf.com/. Keep an eye on October 5, 2026, the scheduled date for the match, as the final score will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, consider favoring the 'No' outcome on Polymarket. On Kalshi, a cancellation introduces uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on determining a winner or a tie.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Honduras and Jamaica.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Honduras vs. Jamaica professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Honduras, a win for Jamaica, or a tie. If Honduras or Jamaica wins within the specified time frame, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie under the same conditions, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Honduras vs. Jamaica match. Currently, the consensus view across both platforms indicates a high probability of a draw, with Polymarket showing a chance of 96%. Total volume for this market is $4,489,286, with $3,843,026 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available and gauge overall market sentiment regarding the match’s result. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This market’s odds may differ from sportsbooks due to varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among participants, and the incentive structure of each venue. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Polymarket currently favors a draw at 96%, while Kalshi leans toward Jamaica winning. This difference may stem from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or differing interpretations of that information. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform can impact price volatility and lead to temporary discrepancies in the odds for the Honduras vs. Jamaica match.