TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Honcharenko Serhii and Bakin Evgenii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 13 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Honcharenko Serhii' if Honcharenko Serhii wins against Bakin Evgenii. This market will resolve to 'Bakin Evgenii' if Bakin Evgenii wins against Honcharenko Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Honcharenko Serhii and Bakin Evgenii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 13 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Honcharenko Serhii' if Honcharenko Serhii wins against Bakin Evgenii. This market will resolve to 'Bakin Evgenii' if Bakin Evgenii wins against Honcharenko Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product formula to ensure that the total value of all shares always equals one, maintaining a probabilistic interpretation of the prices.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Honcharenko vs. Bakin match, as reported by an authoritative source. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result at that time. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could influence trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamic shifts in the probabilities associated with this market until it resolves.