TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Holy Cross vs William & Mary college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 29.5 to 69.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official score. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have engaged with.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to build in a profit margin, while this market represents the collective belief of traders willing to put their money behind their predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, whereas this market requires active participation on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Holy Cross vs William & Mary game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the potential liquidity and order flow for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Holy Cross vs William & Mary game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. Any overtime periods will be included in the final point total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding losing contracts will receive $0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Holy Cross or William & Mary would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public betting activity or analysis from sports experts could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.