TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either Holy Cross or William & Mary might win, reflecting diverse expectations about the game's competitive balance.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Holy Cross vs William & Mary college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If William & Mary wins by exceeding the specified point threshold—from 2.5 to 30.5 points—the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered. Conversely, if Holy Cross wins by more than the designated margins (1.5 to 17.5 points), the respective 'Yes' outcome resolves. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time are treated as valid, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point-spread threshold.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi tend to reflect information and opinions that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. This often leads to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches, as traders incorporate new information and refine their forecasts. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful benchmark for understanding the initial expectations surrounding the Holy Cross vs William & Mary game and identifying potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Holy Cross vs William & Mary game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Holy Cross or William & Mary teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any major shifts in public perception, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role.