TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and potential return based on expected game intensity.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Holy Cross and Harvard in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 28.5 to 68.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score of that game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of initial sportsbook lines as new information and opinions are factored in by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final points total and capitalizing on discrepancies between their own assessment and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total, as officially recorded by event organizers, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total equal to or exceeding the actual total will settle at 100, while those predicting a lower total will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Holy Cross or Harvard would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.