TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Holy Cross and Harvard. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends on who holds the advantage after the first half concludes.
If Harvard wins the 1st half of the Holy Cross vs Harvard college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Holy Cross wins the 1st half of the Holy Cross vs Harvard college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Holy Cross vs Harvard college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to attract balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move more quickly in response to breaking news or significant betting activity. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life, as information is digested by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of them winning the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs, creating a constantly evolving price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the first half of the Holy Cross vs Harvard game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by sports news outlets and the governing body of college basketball, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half winner will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Holy Cross or Harvard teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team lineups, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could lead to rapid shifts in the odds. Finally, general betting trends and public perception of each team’s chances, as reflected in media coverage, can all contribute to movement in this market.