TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:43 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of different exact scores. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that score occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest in each potential result, providing insight into where traders see value. The market’s price dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the exact score at the end of regulation time, including any added time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purpose of determining the outcome of this market. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Holstein Kiel or Hoffenheim could significantly impact trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, might also play a role. Furthermore, unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could shift the perceived probabilities. Even public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.