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420,368

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4,484

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Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?

Volume:
$379,640

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 7:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,598
N/A
N/A
$24,078
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hoffenheim

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140,902
N/A
N/A
$80,636
Settled
No
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kiel

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,373
N/A
N/A
$48,799
Settled
No
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a DFB Pokal soccer match between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for October 28, 2026. Markets exist for Kiel winning, Hoffenheim winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket does not resolve if the game is canceled, while Kalshi does.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, avoid the Polymarket markets, but Kalshi markets will still resolve.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'Yes' if Holstein Kiel or a draw occurs. Resolves to 'No' if Hoffenheim wins. If the game is canceled entirely, the market will resolve 'No'. Refers only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Kiel wins, Hoffenheim wins, or the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not specify a resolution path for cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between Kiel and Hoffenheim scheduled for October 28, 2026. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Kiel, a win for Hoffenheim, or a tie, all assessed after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within this timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve positively. Should the game end in a tie under the same conditions, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price as per the governing rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It's important to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the probabilities surrounding the Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for setting and adjusting odds on Polymarket and Kalshi are not identical, contributing to potential price discrepancies for the Holstein Kiel vs. Hoffenheim match. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the value of observing multiple venues.