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Holstein Kiel vs. SG Dynamo Dresden
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Holstein Kiel vs. SG Dynamo Dresden?

Volume:
$78,116

Kiel

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 10:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kiel

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,105
N/A
N/A
$25,507
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dresden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,485
N/A
N/A
$10,278
Settled
No
polymarket

SG Dynamo Dresden

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,543
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,532
N/A
N/A
$4,895
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Holstein Kiel vs. SG Dynamo Dresden)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and SG Dynamo Dresden.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms, specifically regarding win/loss markets on Polymarket versus the implicit assumption on Kalshi.Hero tip: If you believe the game is at high risk of cancellation, Polymarket's 'No' resolution for win/loss markets might be preferable. Conversely, Kalshi's implicit assumption of no resolution could be advantageous if you anticipate a cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If canceled with no make-up game, win/loss markets resolve 'No', draw market resolves 'Yes'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore, then consensus.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit cancellation rule is stated; resolution appears contingent on the game occurring. Relies on the result of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Holstein Kiel and SG Dynamo Dresden.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Kiel vs Dresden professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Kiel wins, the 'Kiel' market resolves to Yes. If Dresden wins, the 'Dresden' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Holstein Kiel vs. Dresden match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus expectation, with a total volume of $78,116 and 24-hour volume of $62,079. This allows traders to see how the market is pricing the likelihood of different results, combining insights from both platforms. The dashboard provides a unified view of the prediction market for this event, offering a comprehensive perspective on what traders believe will happen in the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through direct rewards. This market’s odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the influence of different participant biases. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded assessment of potential outcomes.