TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Holstein Kiel" if Holstein Kiel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Holstein Kiel" if Holstein Kiel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hertha BSC" if Hertha BSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Hertha BSC or Holstein Kiel will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment among traders, creating a real-time forecast of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and authoritative sources, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Holstein Kiel or Hertha BSC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also sway market sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or unexpected weather conditions on match day could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in the price of shares. The closer we get to Oct 16, 2026, the more sensitive this market will be to new information.