TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Time left: 04d:12h:34m
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In the upcoming match between Holstein Kiel and DSC Arminia Bielefeld, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Holstein Kiel" if Holstein Kiel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DSC Arminia Bielefeld" if DSC Arminia Bielefeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Holstein Kiel and DSC Arminia Bielefeld, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Holstein Kiel" if Holstein Kiel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DSC Arminia Bielefeld" if DSC Arminia Bielefeld are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different cost structures and cater to different types of bettors, which can contribute to these differences.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Holstein Kiel or DSC Arminia Bielefeld will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely first goalscorer. The current top outcome, Holstein Kiel to score first, has a chance percentage of 48.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Holstein Kiel vs. Bielefeld match. Official match data and reports will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Holstein Kiel or DSC Arminia Bielefeld would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match announcements about starting lineups, could all contribute to shifts in the market. Furthermore, any major news related to the teams' overall performance or managerial changes could also affect trading activity.