TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
The event is a professional baseball game featuring two prominent teams in Japan's top-tier baseball league. It is scheduled to take place in the early morning hours, marking a key match-up in the season's calendar. The outcome of the game's initial inning will determine specific market conditions.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka Hawks professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a run will be scored in the first inning. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run was scored in the first inning of the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters versus Fukuoka Hawks game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the result. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late changes, would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also shift the odds, especially if they favor either offense or pitching. Additionally, late-breaking reports on key player performance or team strategies could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can quickly move the market price and reflect new information or sentiment.