TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional women's soccer match in Germany's Bundesliga between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Hoffenheim wins, Mainz 05 wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 professional German Women's Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Hoffenheim or Mainz 05 markets occurs if that respective team wins the match within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration for all outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-money wagers, potentially revealing information not fully captured by conventional oddsmaking.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hoffenheim vs Mainz match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth and order flow offer insights into the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Hoffenheim vs Mainz match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official outcome is declared. This timeframe allows for verification and ensures a fair and accurate settlement of all contracts.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Mainz 05 would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to shifts in the market, as traders react to perceived changes in the likelihood of either team winning the match.