TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the Hoffenheim versus Lyon Europa League fixture set for October 22, 2026, determining if both clubs find the back of the net within the standard match duration of 90 minutes and added stoppage time.
If Hoffenheim and Lyon both score a goal in the Hoffenheim vs Lyon Europa League match originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often providing a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into the perceived probability of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score'. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Hoffenheim and Lyon score at least one goal during the match. If both teams score, the market will settle in favor of 'Yes'; otherwise, it will settle as 'No'. The result will be based on the official match data, and any potential disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Lyon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to favor one team's style of play, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, the market may react to pre-match analysis from football experts and any updates on team formations or tactical approaches. Finally, early goals scored during the match itself will rapidly move the price of this market.