TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hoffenheim vs Hamburg
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What is the result of Hoffenheim vs Hamburg?

Volume:
$722,221

Hamburg

 - Kalshi

Hamburg - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 11:32 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hamburg

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$270,333
N/A
N/A
$106,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hoffenheim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260,059
N/A
N/A
$74,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$191,830
N/A
N/A
$87,934
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Hamburg will win its professional Bundesliga soccer game against Hoffenheim. Currently, Kalshi gives Hamburg a 96.0% probability of winning, with a 4.0% probability of a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as determined by whether Hamburg wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, according to the resolution source. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 10, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Bundesliga match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Hoffenheim win, Hamburg win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, serving as speculative instruments on the match's result within the defined timeframe.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hoffenheim vs Hamburg match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the perceived probability of different outcomes fluctuates in real-time. Currently, the total volume traded on this market is $722,221, with $720,653 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a dynamic view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting leading up to the event. The dashboard is a key tool for understanding market activity.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs through financial stakes. It's a different way to gauge the likely outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hoffenheim vs Hamburg match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winning outcome based on that data. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor for official announcements around this date.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Hamburg would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media, can also drive price movements as traders react to the evolving narrative.