TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Hoffenheim vs Besiktas: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Hoffenheim vs Besiktas?

Volume:
$67,612

Besiktas wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Besiktas wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 4:53 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Besiktas wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,582
N/A
N/A
$15,918
Settled
No
kalshi

Besiktas wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,537
N/A
N/A
$19,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Hoffenheim wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,009
N/A
N/A
$5,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Hoffenheim wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,485
N/A
N/A
$4,573
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Europa League soccer match between Hoffenheim and Besiktas, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals they win by.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Hoffenheim or Besiktas wins the match, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Hoffenheim must win by more than 2.5 goals for one market to resolve positively, while another requires only a margin greater than 1.5 goals. Conversely, Besiktas must win by more than 1.5 goals for a market to resolve positively, with an additional market requiring a margin exceeding 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Hoffenheim vs Besiktas match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the volume is $67,013 and the total volume for this market is $67,612. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment, allowing you to see how traders are positioning themselves on the outcome of the match. This information is updated in real-time, giving you the latest insights into the market's expectations.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Hoffenheim vs Besiktas match, the prediction market price may diverge. It's common to see differences, especially before a large amount of trading occurs, as information asymmetry plays a role.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Hoffenheim vs Besiktas match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that can be seen as a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Hoffenheim vs Besiktas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Hoffenheim or Besiktas would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, coaching changes, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts related to the Hoffenheim vs Besiktas match. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into potential market movements.