TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Tweede Divisie league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event allows for betting on either team winning or the match ending in a draw.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Hoek vs Treffers Groesbeek professional Tweede Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. If the match concludes in a tie during regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that a bias exists in either the market or the sportsbook’s assessment. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the Hoek vs Treffers match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a constantly evolving assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hoek vs Treffers match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial determination. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also have an impact. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the Hoek vs Treffers match has the potential to move the market significantly.