TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a specific league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event accounts for potential match disruptions by allowing for fair resolution adjustments if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the Hoek vs Kozakken Boys professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Hoek, a win for Kozakken Boys, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly adheres to results within standard match time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant motivations than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders attempting to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even public biases. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information surfaces or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hoek vs Kozakken Boys match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market’s price discovery, while lower volume can lead to wider bid-ask spreads.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hoek vs Kozakken Boys match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results, but will occur as soon as reasonably possible after the match concludes.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoek or Kozakken Boys would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Even external factors like weather conditions, if they are expected to significantly impact the match, might influence the odds. Major announcements related to team strategy or coaching changes could also create volatility in this market.