TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hnoievoi Roman and Abalmaz Spartak in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 24 at 8:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hnoievoi Roman' if Hnoievoi Roman wins against Abalmaz Spartak. This market will resolve to 'Abalmaz Spartak' if Abalmaz Spartak wins against Hnoievoi Roman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Hnoievoi Roman and Abalmaz Spartak in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 24 at 8:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hnoievoi Roman' if Hnoievoi Roman wins against Abalmaz Spartak. This market will resolve to 'Abalmaz Spartak' if Abalmaz Spartak wins against Hnoievoi Roman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments related to the Hnoievoi vs. Abalmaz match. Comparing these odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hnoievoi vs. Abalmaz match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform's design incentivizes accurate predictions, as traders who correctly forecast the result profit from their positions. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hnoievoi vs. Abalmaz match as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The specific details of the match result will be used to determine the final settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players’ physical condition or tactical approaches would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the Hnoievoi vs. Abalmaz match could drive trading activity and alter the perceived probabilities of each outcome. Unexpected developments leading up to the match are likely to create volatility in the market.