TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
Volume:
$269,122
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Conference League match between HNK Rijeka and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Rijeka win, draw, and Strasbourg win, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between Polymarket draw market and win markets. Polymarket draw resolves YES on full cancellation; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi omits cancellation clause entirely.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket traders face a logical trap: the draw market resolves YES while Rijeka-win and Strasbourg-win both resolve NO, leaving no consistent outcome. Verify cancellation insurance or hedge across platforms. Kalshi's silence on cancellation is also a risk—assume it requires the match to occur.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Rijeka win, Draw, Strasbourg win). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve to No' (win markets). Primary source: UEFA official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three binary outcomes (Rijeka win, Tie, Strasbourg win) in a single event structure. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes match occurs. Quote: 'If Rijeka wins... If Tie wins... If Strasbourg Alsace wins...' with no fallback language. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, Conference League professional match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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