TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between HNK Rijeka and NK Varaždin, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between HNK Rijeka and NK Varaždin, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Varaždin" if NK Varaždin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, as the incentive structure encourages participants to express their true beliefs. However, sportsbook odds reflect the views of professional oddsmakers and may incorporate information not yet fully priced into this market, such as injury reports or team news. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the HNK Rijeka vs. NK Varaždin match will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing team will forfeit their stake. The result will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either HNK Rijeka or NK Varaždin would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could also move the market. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any late-breaking news related to team lineups are also factors traders will consider.