TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Prva Liga game between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varaždin, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Varaždin match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Prva Liga game between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Varaždin, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HNK Hajduk Split vs. NK Varaždin match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully reflected in sportsbook pricing. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can still emerge based on varying analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likely result. The current top outcome, as determined by trading volume, is not available at this time.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the HNK Hajduk Split versus NK Varaždin match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data regarding the match’s final result. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process based on the official match outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Hajduk Split or Varaždin could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from football experts, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any large-volume trades on Polymarket could create short-term price movements as traders react to the changing dynamics of this market. Publicly available information about team morale or recent performance could also play a role.