TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 2:04 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Prva Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Prva Liga game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to probabilities that can diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded, as information aggregates quickly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency depends on the level of trading activity and the information available to traders, creating a dynamic pricing environment for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hajduk Split vs. Gorica match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Hajduk Split or Gorica could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets could all contribute to price movements. A surprising result in a related match or a major tactical shift announced by either team could also impact trading activity and the overall probability assessment.