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HNK Hajduk Split vs. AFC Ajax - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$85

HNK Hajduk Split

 - Polymarket

HNK Hajduk Split - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 5:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

HNK Hajduk Split

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between HNK Hajduk Split and AFC Ajax, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between HNK Hajduk Split and AFC Ajax, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Hajduk Split vs. Ajax first-to-score market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome shifts over time as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard also shows the total volume traded on this market, currently at $85, and the 24-hour volume, which is $85. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding which team will score first in the match.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether HNK Hajduk Split or AFC Ajax will score first. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the HNK Hajduk Split versus AFC Ajax match. Official match data will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the game, as reported by trusted sports news sources.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match are also potential catalysts. Furthermore, public perception and analysis from sports commentators could sway opinions and drive trading activity. A significant shift in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could also influence traders on Polymarket, leading to price adjustments in this market.