TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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HNK Gorica vs. NK Rudeš
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of HNK Gorica vs. NK Rudeš?

Volume:
$89,104

Rudes Zagreb

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Rudes Zagreb

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,925
N/A
N/A
$12,430
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NK Rudeš

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gorica

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,295
N/A
N/A
$19,538
Settled
No
polymarket

HNK Gorica

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,472
N/A
N/A
$6,406
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (HNK Gorica vs. NK Rudeš)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Croatian HNL soccer match between HNK Gorica and NK Rudeš on October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Gorica winning, Rudeš winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets focus on the result within the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled matches to 'No' for win/draw markets, while Kalshi lacks this specific rule.Hero tip: Consider the potential for a canceled match and the differing resolution approaches. Polymarket's 'No' resolution on cancellation could create an arbitrage opportunity if Kalshi's market remains open or resolves differently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Resolution source prioritizes official statistics, then Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting. Resolution within 24 hours or 50-50/Draw.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is provided, implying standard sports event cancellation rules apply.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Prva Liga game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between HNK Gorica and NK Rudeš.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Gorica vs Rudes Zagreb professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within this timeframe for the respective Gorica or Rudes Zagreb markets, or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting options than traditional sportsbooks, potentially influencing the displayed probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. These platforms have distinct user bases, leading to varying opinions and trading activity. The liquidity and volume on each platform also play a role; lower volume can result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing fee structures and market-making strategies employed by each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. Even with the same underlying event, these factors create independent price discovery processes, resulting in potentially different probabilities for the same outcomes.