TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Hiroshima and Shimizu in Japan's J1 League. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams during the regular match time.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Hiroshima vs Shimizu Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed the specified half-goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately based on the same underlying match result. The rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the Japan J1 League or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as a more accurate value. This dynamic can lead to interesting discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price suggests lower confidence in that outcome, while a lower price indicates greater confidence. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally from the Hiroshima vs Shimizu match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league. The market will determine whether the total goals scored fall above or below the threshold defined within the market contracts. All trading will cease upon resolution, and contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hiroshima or Shimizu would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also be a factor, potentially influencing the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sources could shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome.