TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 3:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hiroshima and Shimizu, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled according to specific goal-difference thresholds that define a winning condition for each team.
The event evaluates whether either Hiroshima or Shimizu wins the Japan J1 League soccer match by a specified goal margin. Four distinct outcome conditions are defined: Hiroshima must win by more than 2.5 goals, Hiroshima must win by more than 1.5 goals, Shimizu must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Shimizu must win by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. Only the net goal difference matters in determining resolution, and all outcomes are mutually exclusive such that only one condition can be satisfied. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all branding elements belong to their respective rights holders.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly as an event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Hiroshima vs Shimizu match, specifically the spread. The outcome will be determined by the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. This market offers a unique opportunity to predict the result before the game concludes.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hiroshima or Shimizu teams would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or late-breaking news related to the game could cause rapid shifts in the market price. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators and analysts could also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.