TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga in Japan's J1 League. The result will be determined after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market will reflect whether Hiroshima wins, Kyoto Sanga wins, or the game ends in a tie based on the final score at the end of regulation time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Hiroshima wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Hiroshima' market resolves to Yes. If Kyoto Sanga wins under the same conditions, the 'Kyoto Sanga' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result after normal time, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors such as extra periods or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not certainties. Comparing the two can offer a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes for the Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding payout to contract holders. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes for the Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga match. Unexpected announcements or significant shifts in public sentiment could also lead to increased volume and price fluctuations. Any new information that alters the assessment of each team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the market prices on Kalshi.